The “Intention to Invest Component” indicates the wholesalers’ willingness to increase or decrease their investment activities in the upcoming period.
The Intention to Invest Component for the fourth quarter of 2016 reveals a slight improvement and a more settled vision within the market. This implies that Lebanese wholesalers react instantly to positive indicators, even before these indicators would materialize. As such, some wholesalers revealed a clear intention to increase their investments in the upcoming period, while the majority of wholesalers remained vigilant, revealing no indication to stimulate activity or increase their investments. As a result, the computed results of “The Intention to Invest Component” for the third quarter of 2016 recorded a decline that reached (0.01128) on a scale of (-3 to +3),which had been adopted to express the level of intentions to invest or disinvest, compared to -0.00438 that was recorded in the previous quarter. Hereby, traders indicate their willingness to invest by choosing a degree between -3 (definite willingness to disinvest) and +3 (definite willingness to invest) or zero in case they wanted to keep the situation at its present condition. This figure is normalized into the range [0, 100] where it amounts to 50.19, compared to 49.93 in the previous quarter. The figure reveals some improvement in wholesalers’ intentions. This positive trend is expected to further crystalize once positive developments are confirmed, especially that an encouraging atmosphere has been prevailing since the election of a new president and the formation of a new cabinet. Download full Q4-2016 Index in English and Arabic Languages.
Beirut Traders Association and Bankmed released the results of “Beirut Traders Association – Bankmed Investment Index,” for the third quarter of 2016. The index, which is backed by the technical support of the Central Administration of Statistics in Lebanon, aims at assessing the reality of the wholesale sector in Lebanon. The index reflects the investment climate in Lebanon, shedding light on the commercial activity and overall economic situation, particularly the phase that preceded the presidential elections in Lebanon. The results for the third quarter of 2016 indicate a continued deterioration in the “Turnover Component.” Similarly, the “Intention to Invest Component” was also characterized by some relative negativity in light of the decline witnessed in most wholesale sectors. The “Turnover Component,” which tackles the activity during the quarter under study, recorded a real decline of 1.3% (excluding the Wholesale Sector of Liquid Fuel) in comparison with the third quarter of 2015. This drop is largely attributed to the continued reduction in the volume of orders placed by retail merchants during this period. According to the published results, the Wholesale Sector of Household Electrical Equipment, the Wholesale Sector of Importers and Agents of Pharmaceuticals, and the Wholesale of Pastry, Chocolate, Sweets, Jam and Kernels witnessed some improvement in their wholesale activity. On the other hand, the Wholesale Sector of Phones and Communication Equipment continued to witness a notable decline in its wholesale activity alongside the Wholesale Sector of Electrical & Electronics, Parts and Equipment and the Wholesale Sector of Clothes, which also experienced a significant slump in their wholesale activity. With respect to the “Intention to Invest Component,” the computed results reveal that some sectors have revealed an intention to decrease their investments given the unfitting conditions that had been prevalent during this quarter. The “BTA – Bankmed Investment Index” has become an important indicator of the activity in the commercial sector as it assists the caretakers in making educated decisions in their future investments. Download (Q3-2016) Index in English and Arabic language.
Beirut Traders Association and Bankmed released the results of “Beirut Traders Association – Bankmed Investment Index,” for the second quarter of 2016. The index, which is backed by the technical support of the Central Administration of Statistics in Lebanon, The consolidated business figures across most wholesale sectors reveal a continued slowdown in their market activity when compared to the same quarters of the previous year. The downturn in wholesale results accelerated during the second quarter of 2016, whereby the “Turnover Component,” which tackles the activity during the second quarter of 2016, reported a nominal decline of 8.85% in comparison with the second quarter of 2015. It is worth noting that this trend remained negative despite the fact that the cost of living indicator recorded a decline where it reached (-0.98%) between the second quarter of 2015 and the second quarter of 2016. The real figures of the “Turnover Component” for the second quarter of 2016 recorded a decline of 7.96% compared to the results of the second quarter in 2015... Downlaod (Q2 - 2016) Index in English and Arabic language.
Beirut Traders Association (BTA) and Bankmed release the results of “Beirut Traders Association – Bankmed Investment Index” for the first quarter of 2016 Beirut, June…., 2016: Beirut Traders Association and Bankmed released the results of “Beirut Traders Association – Bankmed Investment Index,” for the first quarter of 2016. The index, which is backed by the technical support of the Central Administration of Statistics in Lebanon, aims at assessing the reality of the wholesale sector in Lebanon. The index reflects the investment climate in Lebanon, shedding light on the commercial activity and overall economic situation. The results for the first quarter of 2016 indicate a continued deterioration in the “Turnover Component.” However, the “Intention to Invest Component” was characterized by some positivity, revealing the steadfastness of the Lebanese traders, who expressed no intention to decrease investment despite the decline witnessed in most wholesale sectors. The “Turnover Component,” which tackles the activity during the quarter under study, recorded a nominal decline amounting to (- 3.8% )in comparison with the first quarter of 2015. This drop is attributed to the continued domestic and regional conditions, which are impacting the purchasing power of domestic consumers. The figure also reflects the deteriorating activity in most wholesale sectors during the first quarter. According to the published results, the Wholesale Sector of Grains and Agricultural Products, Wholesale of Electrical Engines and Transformers, as well as the Wholesale Sector of Liquid Fuels witnessed some improvement in their wholesale activity. On the other hand, the Wholesale Sector of Pastry, Chocolate, Sweets, and Kernels, Wholesale Sector of Electrical & Electronics Parts and Equipment, as well as the Wholesale Sector of Phones and Communication Equipment witnessed a notable decline in their wholesale activity. With respect to the “Intention to Invest Component,” the computed results reveal that most sectors have shown imperturbability in the face of the prevailing situation. In this regard, most wholesalers revealed an intention to increase their investment in the upcoming period in an aim to restore vitality within their institutions once signs of improvements appear in the horizon. The “BTA – Bankmed Investment Index” has become an important indicator of the activity in the commercial sector as it assists the caretakers in making educated decisions in their future investments. Downlaod (Q1 - 2016) Index in English and Arabic language.
